Let me start by painting the picture …….

Imagine …

A world thrown into turmoil by drought, floods, typhoons. Whole countries rendered uninhabitable. The borders of the likes of US, China and Australia patrolled by armies firing into waves of  starving refugees desperate to find a new home. Fishing boats armed with  cannon to drive off competitors. Demands for access to water and arable land backed  up with nuclear weapons. Democratic processes abandoned as special emergency powers are imposed, as extremist political parties come to the fore. Certain countries forced by threat of major destruction to abandon their nuclear weapons and related infrastructure. Major uranium reserves siezed and controlled by the major military powers. Global national GDP plummets and protectionist policies backed with the threat of military force. Many foods become scarce, expensive or mostly not available  …

Actually, it’s not my portrait ….. it’s from a combination of reports commissioned by the Pentagon and the World Bank on how to ready for climate Armageddon …. back in 2004 !

The World Bank and the Pentagon have both commissioned studies which admit that our world is in serious peril, and the biggest threat to our future  is not terrorism, but our own dependence on fossil fuels …. In other words,

“We have looked into the eyes of the enemy, and he is us.”

The Pentagon‘s planning scenario reports:

Global Warming “should be elevated beyond a scientific debate to a US national security concern.” It declares that “future wars will be fought over the issue of survival rather than religion, ideology or national honour.”

It envisions the need to turn the US and other rich western countries into “fortresses,” armed against an angry tide of displaced refugees.

Here’s the “plausible scenario” that the Pentagon envisions:

The climatic impact will be felt more intensely in certain regions around the world. Rising temperatures make large areas of the globe uninhabitable. More severe storms and typhoons bring about higher storm surges and floods in low-lying lands, making some key coastal cities unlivable. As glacial ice melts, sea levels rise and as winter time sea extent decreases, ocean waves increase in intensity, damaging coastal cities. Additionally millions of people are put at risk of flooding around the globe, and fisheries are disrupted as water temperature changes cause fish to migrate to new locations and habitats, increasing tensions over fishing rights.

The Pentagon foresees fishing wars between Spain and Portugal.Pakistan, India, and China – all armed with nuclear weapons – skirmish’s at their borders over refugees, access to shared rivers, and arable land. Bangladesh and other exposed countries becomes uninhabitable. Drought hits the American breadbasket.

The report explores how such an abrupt climate change scenario could potentially de-stabilize the geo-political environment, leading to skirmishes, battles, and  even war due to resource constraints.

Ultimately, the report forecasts a decrease in the planet’shuman carrying capacity, leading to sharp reductions in the world’s population due to starvation, disease, and war.

Newtz

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